Many analysts state that this World Cup that starts on
12 June is organized in order to be won by a South American team, and they have
reasons to believe that. What's more, the most probable final (and so the
gambling companies indicate) is Brazil-Argentina.
Football hasn't got any logic, and in order this to
happen, both teams, whose rivalry has been increasing with the years and the
globalization, plus the fact of being neighbours and the big amount of stars
that both teams have, would win their groups in the first round . If that
happens, they won't be able to meet
themselves until the final at Maracana Stadium on 13 June.
This calendar has not been designed by chance by the
FIFA, but thinking on the hypothetical South American final: if we take into
account the organization of the Round of 16, we verify that the defending
champion, Spain (or even the last runner-up, Netherlands) would confront
Brazil, and so they run the risk of being eliminated soon from the tournament.
Meanwhile, Italy and England are in the group of Uruguay and even the European
that would qualify to the next round would play against Colombia.
What's clear is that the draw determined that the
European powers will eliminate themselves in the first round (Italy-England are
in the same group, Germany-Portugal in another, France-Switzerland too, plus
the fact of playing against hard teams like Uruguay, United States and Ecuador,
respectively).
This already supposes a design of the quarter-finals
with few European teams, and bearing in mind that there is more humidity and
some cities with hot weather, Europeans are traditionally less powerful in
South America: Europeans had never won a World Cup, not only in South America,
but also in the whole American continent, in the seven World Cups that were
held there.
At any rate, if there is a team that can interpose,
always within the logic, between Brazil
and Argentina, that is the Uruguayan, which already knows what is giving a surprise in Brazilian
territory, though it was in the far 1950, with that goal of Alcides Ghiggia
that silenced 200 thousand persons in the Maracana of Río de Janeiro, in one of
the most important moments in the history of the World Cups.
Now times have changed, the Uruguayan team arrives
tightly, but with a huge solidity due to the great job of the coach Oscar
Tabárez and based on a strong defensive triangle (the goalkeeper Fernando
Muslera and the centre backs Diego Lugano and Diego Godín), a laborious and
balanced midfield and a powerful attack with Edinson Cavani and the mistery of
how will recover from his injury the star of the English Premier League, Luis
Suárez.
Uruguay seems, a priori, the most troublesome rival,
or maybe Spain if they get to avoid Brazil in the second round, plus the
weather does not affect them, adding the surprise that Belgium might be with
their excellent generation (Courtois, Kompany, Fellaini, Hazard, among them) or
the incognito of Colombia or France.
Brazil and Argentina, the two big powers, are going
through opposing routes. Not only between themselves, but also compared with
their own characteristics of the past. While Brazil was always talent and
attack, with feeble defences, today has probably the best defence, but hasn't
got the talent that made them famous.
If Argentina, less than a decade was solid in the
back, but had not the balance and it was less talented in the front, now is
pure talent and a great power to define, plus they have the best player of the
world, Lionel Messi, but they are not giving guarantees in the defensive row.
Even though that, the Argentinian team won against
almost all of their rivals in the preparation and had not suffered in the World
Cup Qualifiers. Meanwhile the Brazilians grew since Luiz Felipe Scolari (world
champion in 2002) became the coach, and the best proof is the title won at the
2013 FIFA Confederations Cup.
That means that we would have a passionate final in
which we will see the crossing of two neighbourhood powers, with a great
rivalry and complementary game.
If it is for the prognosis, the most awaited final and
at the same time, the greatest bet (football-related and commercial) of the
organizers.
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